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Emerging Technologies (Part 1) - Generative AI and AI-driven Drug discovery

And potential stock ideas to play them

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The Edge
Nov 02, 2023
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Let’s talk emerging technologies today!

I own three types of holdings in my portfolio:

  1. The Stable compounder names

  2. Stocks that represent an asymmetric risk/reward profile

  3. Select ETFs

Today, let’s talk more about the second category of stocks - Stocks that represent an asymmetric risk/reward profile. These stocks usually fall in the following buckets:

  • Mostly, these tend to be relatively younger companies, often operating in emerging industries that could have a long runway for growth.

  • Sometimes, they also represent “special situations” companies e.g. companies going through restructuring or deep value names.

  • Alternatively, they could be large cap names where there is a material earnings driver that the market is failing to appreciate at present time, that could lead to a large delta in earnings versus expectations and/or a stock multiple re-rating.

Identifying Emerging industries that could be at the cusp of mass adoption is a great hunting ground for new ideas. Think electric vehicles ten years back or e-commerce when Amazon had just started selling books over the internet!

That said, note that by nature, “emerging” industries entail a lot of uncertainty within them by virtue of being at nascent stages of technology development. Therefore, companies here have the potential to be multi-baggers but at the same time, they can also go to zero due to a myriad of reasons. This is all to say that position sizing in these kinds of names is key - for risk management of the overall portfolio.

In this note Series, I will cover a few of the promising emerging technologies and industries and possible ways to play them through listed stocks. Let’s go!

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